3 days left
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.3K
55 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 32 traders
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?
7 MARKETS · $22.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+43¢$6.6K4/5Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+43¢1¢
$6.6K4/5
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
6¢−6¢$9.8K0/7Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−6¢6¢
$9.8K0/7
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
68¢−68¢$3.4K0/6Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−68¢68¢
$3.4K0/6
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
26¢−26¢$4840/2Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−26¢26¢
$4840/2
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
3¢−3¢$3600/4Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−3¢3¢
$3600/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs6 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$15+11 new NO$258
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $360 is directional: YES $16·NO $344YES Team
Total Invested
$44
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$40(-90.2%)
Whales
6
P
Pricey-Million🥇
Entry 43¢·65.2 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $28 · WR 59.8%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 14¢·52 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 79.5%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 14¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 72.2%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 10¢·26 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 85.7%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 7¢·22.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 59.6%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 1¢·92 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 80.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$415
Avg Win Rate
88.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$66(+15.9%)
Whales
6
Y
yescat🥇
Entry 100¢·333.3 shares
Invested
$332
Win Rate
90.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $332 · WR 90.6%
M
merod🥈
Entry 50¢·102.1 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $51 · WR 84.0%
K
KiruaTrading🥉
Entry 93¢·12.6 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 61.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 49¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 85.9%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 50¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 59.7%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 50¢·9.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 59.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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