YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$6.6K
286 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 95 traders
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?
7 MARKETS · $21.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←
1¢+43¢$6.6K4/5Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←+43¢1¢
$6.6K4/5
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
16¢−16¢$8.7K0/7Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−16¢16¢
$8.7K0/7
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
45¢−45¢$3.2K0/6Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−45¢45¢
$3.2K0/6
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
25¢−25¢$4810/2Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−25¢25¢
$4810/2
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
4¢−4¢$3570/4Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−4¢4¢
$3570/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs15 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 14% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+31 new YES$681+28 new NO$2.6K
$613 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.0K is directional: YES $143·NO $892YES Team
Total Invested
$190
Avg Win Rate
64.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$184(-96.6%)
Whales
8
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 65¢·169.3 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $109 · WR 61.3%
I
itsjustcheddar🥈
Entry 34¢·90.4 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $31 · WR 80.8%
C
Classic-Loggia🥉
Entry 33¢·65.2 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $22 · WR 59.6%
R
rrr222hedged
Entry 23¢·62.7 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 55.8%
I
Irritating-Hierarchyhedged
Entry 53¢·17 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
82.5%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 82.5%
D
DECADEZERO
Entry 79¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 56.9%
O
ogi250hedged
Entry 49¢·4 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 58.7%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 4¢·22.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 59.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
85.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$184(+18.0%)
Whales
15
6
64MGX75VLQ◆Proven🥇
Entry 99¢·600 shares
Invested
$594
Win Rate
90.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $594 · WR 90.6%
D
Dr.mett🥈
Entry 98¢·130.9 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $128 · WR 88.4%
J
joe48691🥉
Entry 65¢·157.2 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $102 · WR 67.5%
M
merod
Entry 50¢·102.1 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $51 · WR 84.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $40 · WR 89.0%
R
rrr222hedged
Entry 64¢·62.7 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $40 · WR 55.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $20 · WR 72.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 100¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 79.5%
K
kongehund
Entry 52¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 68.5%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 85.9%
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