YES Price
68¢
68% implied
NO Price
32¢
32% implied
Volume
$3.4K
143 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 49 traders
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?
7 MARKETS · $22.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+43¢$6.6K4/5Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+43¢1¢
$6.6K4/5
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
6¢−6¢$9.8K0/7Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−6¢6¢
$9.8K0/7
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←
68¢−68¢$3.4K0/6Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←−68¢68¢
$3.4K0/6
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
26¢−26¢$4840/2Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−26¢26¢
$4840/2
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
3¢−3¢$3600/4Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−3¢3¢
$3600/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs9 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 32% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 66%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$924+25 new NO$1.5K
$575 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $524 is directional: YES $169·NO $355YES Team
Total Invested
$185
Avg Win Rate
74.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$129(+69.5%)
Whales
6
O
Opulent-Communicant🥇
Entry 67¢·161 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $108 · WR 73.1%
I
Irritating-Hierarchy🥈
Entry 35¢·100 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
82.5%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $35 · WR 82.5%
I
itsjustcheddar🥉
Entry 18¢·101.4 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $19 · WR 80.8%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 26¢·65.2 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $17 · WR 59.5%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 27¢·22.6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $6 · WR 59.6%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 10¢·6.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 85.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$480
Avg Win Rate
69.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$232(-48.4%)
Whales
9
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 60¢·519.7 shares
Invested
$312
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-151
$-151INV $312 · WR 61.3%
M
merod🥈
Entry 50¢·102.1 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $51 · WR 84.0%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 63¢·80 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $50 · WR 86.0%
G
Gemini123
Entry 91¢·33.4 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $31 · WR 85.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 83¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $17 · WR 72.2%
C
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433
Entry 89¢·13.9 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $12 · WR 86.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 33¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 33¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 79.5%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 33¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 56.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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