YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$360
36 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 26 traders
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?
7 MARKETS · $22.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+43¢$6.6K4/5Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+43¢1¢
$6.6K4/5
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
6¢−6¢$9.8K0/7Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−6¢6¢
$9.8K0/7
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
68¢−68¢$3.4K0/6Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−68¢68¢
$3.4K0/6
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
26¢−26¢$4840/2Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−26¢26¢
$4840/2
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←
3¢−3¢$3600/4Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←−3¢3¢
$3600/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs7 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+6 new YES$5+10 new NO$224
2 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $96 is directional: YES $7·NO $89YES Team
Total Invested
$34
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$27(-78.4%)
Whales
5
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash🥇
Entry 42¢·65.2 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $27 · WR 59.7%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 10¢·26 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 85.7%
I
itsjustcheddar🥉
Entry 2¢·90.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 80.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 14¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 72.2%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 4¢·22.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 59.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$271
Avg Win Rate
76.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$123(+45.5%)
Whales
7
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 98¢·86.5 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $84 · WR 61.3%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 79¢·80 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $63 · WR 88.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·104.1 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $52 · WR 79.5%
M
merod
Entry 50¢·102.1 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $51 · WR 84.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 49¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 85.9%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 50¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 59.8%
T
TemuOracle
Entry 98¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 82.2%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 549ms