YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$8.7K
336 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 90 traders
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?
7 MARKETS · $21.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+43¢$6.6K4/5Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+43¢1¢
$6.6K4/5
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←
16¢−16¢$8.7K0/7Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←−16¢16¢
$8.7K0/7
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
45¢−45¢$3.2K0/6Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−45¢45¢
$3.2K0/6
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
25¢−25¢$4810/2Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−25¢25¢
$4810/2
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
4¢−4¢$3570/4Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−4¢4¢
$3570/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs17 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+43 new YES$1.5K+44 new NO$4.6K
$1.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 20 buyers — left out of momentum
12 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $512 is directional: YES $46·NO $465YES Team
Total Invested
$461
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$398(-86.4%)
Whales
14
D
DJBLAK🥇
Entry 185¢·151.1 shares
Invested
$279
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
$-255
$-255INV $279 · WR 73.1%
R
rrr222🥈hedged
Entry 155¢·49.5 shares·also $30 on NO
Invested
$77
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $77 · WR 55.8%
J
joe48691🥉hedged
Entry 66¢·69.3 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$46
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $46 · WR 67.5%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 20¢·93.4 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $19 · WR 80.8%
K
KiruaTrading
Entry 57¢·25.1 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $14 · WR 61.3%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 31¢·22.6 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 59.6%
C
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433
Entry 21¢·25.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 86.8%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 31¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 56.5%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 30¢·6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 59.4%
K
Klise
Entry 66¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 63.3%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$613
Avg Win Rate
78.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$156(+25.5%)
Whales
17
O
Opulent-Communicant🥇
Entry 99¢·196 shares
Invested
$194
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $194 · WR 73.1%
B
Bromley86◆Proven🥈
Entry 95¢·200 shares
Invested
$190
Win Rate
90.7%
Position P&L
—
—INV $190 · WR 90.7%
M
merod🥉
Entry 50¢·102.1 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $51 · WR 84.0%
R
rrr222hedged
Entry 61¢·49.5 shares·also $77 on YES
Invested
$30
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $30 · WR 55.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 62¢·40 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $25 · WR 89.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 75¢·32 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $24 · WR 55.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $20 · WR 69.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 99¢·20.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $20 · WR 85.9%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 63¢·26 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $16 · WR 85.7%
S
Secondary-Magic
Entry 37¢·30 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $11 · WR 66.3%
Showing top 10 of 17
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