YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$484
42 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 25 traders
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?
7 MARKETS · $22.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+43¢$6.6K4/5Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+43¢1¢
$6.6K4/5
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
6¢−6¢$9.8K0/7Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−6¢6¢
$9.8K0/7
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
68¢−68¢$3.4K0/6Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−68¢68¢
$3.4K0/6
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←
26¢−26¢$4840/2Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←−26¢26¢
$4840/2
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
3¢−3¢$3600/4Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−3¢3¢
$3600/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs7 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 24% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$44+12 new NO$287
$15 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $38 is directional: YES $9·NO $29YES Team
Total Invested
$25
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$23(+90.5%)
Whales
3
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat🥇
Entry 28¢·55.4 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 59.7%
I
itsjustcheddar🥈
Entry 4¢·105.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $5 · WR 80.8%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever🥉
Entry 20¢·22.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 59.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$134
Avg Win Rate
77.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$112(+83.6%)
Whales
7
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 61¢·80 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $49 · WR 85.7%
K
KiruaTrading🥈
Entry 95¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $29 · WR 61.3%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $20 · WR 72.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 74¢·20.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 85.9%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 25¢·52 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $13 · WR 85.7%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 74¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 59.6%
M
merod
Entry 1¢·102.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $1 · WR 84.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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