YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$20.63M
30,835 trades
Smart Whales
1117
of 6,681 traders
Fed decision in May?
9 MARKETS · $20.93M MATCHEDSmart Money
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting
44¢−18¢$32.0K13/37No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting−18¢44¢
$32.0K13/37
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
10¢+29¢$100.5K30/47No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting+29¢10¢
$100.5K30/47
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
95¢−55¢$64.0K34/50No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting−55¢95¢
$64.0K34/50
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
76¢−42¢$32.5K13/25No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting−42¢76¢
$32.5K13/25
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting
76¢−40¢$47.8K21/37No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting−40¢76¢
$47.8K21/37
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting
38¢−25¢$11.8K3/20No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting−25¢38¢
$11.8K3/20
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting
31¢−18¢$3.6K2/14No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting−18¢31¢
$3.6K2/14
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
883 YESvs234 NO
79%21%
79% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11 is directional: YES $0·NO $11YES Team
Total Invested
$8.77M
Avg Win Rate
77.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$369.0K(+4.2%)
Whales
883
E
elmcap2🥇
Entry 98¢·1,497,130.9 shares
Invested
$1.46M
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$36600
+$36600INV $1.46M · WR 88.8%
U
Upright-Snug🥈
Entry 89¢·608,911.2 shares
Invested
$541.5K
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
+$67419
+$67419INV $541.5K · WR 80.1%
M
mangotree🥉
Entry 98¢·504,877.8 shares
Invested
$493.2K
Win Rate
94.0%
Position P&L
+$11670
+$11670INV $493.2K · WR 94.0%
E
Erasmus.◆Proven
Entry 96¢·440,534.1 shares
Invested
$421.9K
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
+$18598
+$18598INV $421.9K · WR 70.7%
B
BuckMySalls
Entry 92¢·398,685.3 shares
Invested
$366.4K
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$32280
+$32280INV $366.4K · WR 62.0%
K
Kickstand7◆Proven
Entry 98¢·359,675.8 shares
Invested
$351.0K
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$8682
+$8682INV $351.0K · WR 63.2%
S
System64
Entry 98¢·318,439 shares
Invested
$312.1K
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$6344
+$6344INV $312.1K · WR 100.0%
S
ScamWick
Entry 95¢·269,253.5 shares
Invested
$256.3K
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$12994
+$12994INV $256.3K · WR 55.6%
D
debasedhedged
Entry 98¢·233,571.4 shares·also $7.5K on NO
Invested
$228.1K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$5512
+$5512INV $228.1K · WR 65.9%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 93¢·235,438.1 shares
Invested
$217.8K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$17623
+$17623INV $217.8K · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 883
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.54M
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.09M(-70.7%)
Whales
234
X
XAE12Archangel🥇
Entry 98¢·403,029.8 shares
Invested
$393.7K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-393727
$-393727INV $393.7K · WR 77.3%
L
Liquidifier🥈
Entry 37¢·993,213.7 shares
Invested
$363.2K
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-363151
$-363151INV $363.2K · WR 56.3%
S
Siziriv◆Proven🥉
Entry 92¢·166,618.1 shares
Invested
$152.6K
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-152560
$-152560INV $152.6K · WR 89.2%
S
slurpslurpslurp
Entry 74¢·141,412.4 shares
Invested
$105.0K
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-105042
$-105042INV $105.0K · WR 76.9%
C
Cajetan◆Proven
Entry 14¢·222,073.4 shares
Invested
$32.2K
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-32153
$-32153INV $32.2K · WR 84.7%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 8¢·286,354.3 shares
Invested
$23.1K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-23131
$-23131INV $23.1K · WR 87.6%
1
11122
Entry 6¢·134,605.5 shares
Invested
$7.8K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-7788
$-7788INV $7.8K · WR 60.6%
D
debasedhedged
Entry 3¢·274,654.5 shares·also $228.1K on YES
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-7508
$-7508INV $7.5K · WR 65.9%
A
aldynspeedruns
Entry 43¢·25 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 61.9%
Showing top 9 of 234
Smart Whale Trades
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