mangotree · Polymarket wallet 0x58d8…7a4c

+$131,626 lifetime P&L · 94% win rate · 50 resolved markets · 0x58d8248b1d54ce937733eb4b64fd6a2932d07a4c

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Wallet snapshot

mangotree has made 3,198 trades on Polymarket across 50 markets, $28M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (46%) and politics (18%). On 50 resolved markets the win rate is 94%, lifetime P&L +$132K. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Apr 30, 2026.

Latest closed positions

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes · +$3 · May 1, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No · +$8,383 · May 1, 2026
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes · +$8,010 · Mar 4, 2026
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes · +$14K · Feb 4, 2026
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes · +$4,016 · Feb 4, 2026
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?No · +$22 · Jan 22, 2026
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No · +$300 · Jan 5, 2026
US strikes Yemen by December 31?Yes · +$300 · Jan 5, 2026
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No · +$3,140 · Jan 5, 2026
No airdrop in 2025?No · +$67 · Dec 30, 2025

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