19 days left

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?

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YES Price

17¢

17% implied

NO Price

83¢

83% implied

Volume

$466

40 trades

Smart Whales

6

of 25 traders

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?

9 MARKETS · $12.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October

62¢+18¢$2.0K4/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October+18¢62¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October

47¢+20¢$2.5K6/3

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October+20¢47¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in October

43¢−3¢$2.2K4/6

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in October−3¢43¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October

40¢+10¢$1.3K2/2

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October+10¢40¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October

26¢+24¢$6601/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October+24¢26¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October

14¢+61¢$1.9K3/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October+61¢14¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October←

17¢+23¢$4662/3

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October←+23¢17¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October

5¢+28¢$5502/4

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October+28¢5¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October

3¢+27¢$1.0K3/7

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October+27¢3¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs4 NO

33%67%

67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges

+1 new YES$4+5 new NO$62

$7 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $42 is directional: YES $0·NO $42

YES Team

Total Invested

$71

Avg Win Rate

59.1%

Aggregate P&L

-$54(-75.9%)

Whales

2

Probable-Percentage🥇hedged

Entry 83¢·62.2 shares·also $19 on NO

$-41INV $52 · WR 58.3%

Entry 50¢·38 shares

$-13INV $19 · WR 61.1%

NO Team

Total Invested

$70

Avg Win Rate

58.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$59(+83.7%)

Whales

4

ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇

Entry 84¢·50 shares

+$1INV $42 · WR 57.7%

Probable-Percentage🥈hedged

Entry 31¢·62.2 shares·also $52 on YES

+$33INV $19 · WR 58.3%

Entry 16¢·38 shares

+$25INV $6 · WR 59.7%

Entry 82¢·3.9 shares

+$0INV $3 · WR 62.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Smart money 33% YES: the 10-year Treasury yield dip below…