19 days left

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October?

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YES Price

62¢

62% implied

NO Price

38¢

38% implied

Volume

$2.0K

146 trades

Smart Whales

5

of 39 traders

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?

9 MARKETS · $12.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October←

62¢+18¢$2.0K4/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October←+18¢62¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October

47¢+20¢$2.5K6/3

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October+20¢47¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in October

43¢−3¢$2.2K4/6

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in October−3¢43¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October

40¢+10¢$1.3K2/2

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October+10¢40¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October

26¢+24¢$6601/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October+24¢26¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October

14¢+61¢$1.9K3/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October+61¢14¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October

17¢+23¢$4662/3

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October+23¢17¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October

5¢+28¢$5502/4

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October+28¢5¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October

3¢+27¢$1.0K3/7

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October+27¢3¢

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Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs1 NO

80%20%

80% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 62%· net of hedges

+5 new YES$75+3 new NO$48

$13 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $33 is directional: YES $33·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$60

Avg Win Rate

63.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$8(+12.8%)

Whales

4

Entry 82¢·40 shares

$-12INV $33 · WR 65.9%

Entry 48¢·21 shares

+$3INV $10 · WR 66.4%

Scoopdewhoop🥉

Entry 63¢·15 shares

$-0INV $9 · WR 55.9%

Entry 19¢·40 shares·also $29 on NO

+$17INV $8 · WR 61.8%

NO Team

Total Invested

$29

Avg Win Rate

61.8%

Aggregate P&L

-$14(-48.0%)

Whales

1

rar111🥇hedged

Entry 73¢·40 shares·also $8 on YES

$-14INV $29 · WR 61.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Smart money 80% YES: the 10-year Treasury yield dip below…