19 days left

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

5¢

5% implied

NO Price

95¢

95% implied

Volume

$550

38 trades

Smart Whales

7

of 21 traders

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?

9 MARKETS · $12.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October

62¢+18¢$2.0K4/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October+18¢62¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October

47¢+20¢$2.5K6/3

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October+20¢47¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in October

43¢−3¢$2.2K4/6

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in October−3¢43¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October

40¢+10¢$1.3K2/2

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October+10¢40¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October

26¢+24¢$6601/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October+24¢26¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October

14¢+61¢$1.9K3/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October+61¢14¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October

17¢+23¢$4662/3

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October+23¢17¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October←

5¢+28¢$5502/4

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October←+28¢5¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October

3¢+27¢$1.0K3/7

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October+27¢3¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs5 NO

29%71%

71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%

+2 new YES$3+1 new NO$47

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $8 is directional: YES $0·NO $8

YES Team

Total Invested

$72

Avg Win Rate

57.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$68(-94.8%)

Whales

2

Probable-Percentage🥇hedged

Entry 85¢·72.2 shares·also $18 on NO

$-58INV $61 · WR 58.3%

Scoopdewhoop🥈hedged

Entry 106¢·10 shares·also $3 on NO

$-10INV $11 · WR 55.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$125

Avg Win Rate

81.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$106(+84.9%)

Whales

5

Constancefung🥇

Entry 50¢·100 shares

+$46INV $50 · WR 83.9%

Entry 94¢·50 shares

+$1INV $47 · WR 91.1%

Probable-Percentage🥉hedged

Entry 25¢·72.2 shares·also $61 on YES

+$51INV $18 · WR 58.3%

Entry 75¢·10 shares

+$2INV $8 · WR 67.7%

Scoopdewhoophedged

Entry 26¢·10 shares·also $11 on YES

+$7INV $3 · WR 55.9%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 488ms

Smart money 29% YES: the 10-year Treasury yield dip below…