YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
53¢
53% implied
Volume
$2.5K
150 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 50 traders
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
9 MARKETS · $12.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October
62¢+18¢$2.0K4/1Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October+18¢62¢
$2.0K4/1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October←
47¢+20¢$2.5K6/3Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October←+20¢47¢
$2.5K6/3
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in October
43¢−3¢$2.2K4/6Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in October−3¢43¢
$2.2K4/6
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October
40¢+10¢$1.3K2/2Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October+10¢40¢
$1.3K2/2
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October
26¢+24¢$6601/1Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October+24¢26¢
$6601/1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October
14¢+61¢$1.9K3/1Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October+61¢14¢
$1.9K3/1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October
17¢+23¢$4662/3Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October+23¢17¢
$4662/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs3 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 60%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$201+7 new NO$286
$51 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $289 is directional: YES $266·NO $23YES Team
Total Invested
$304
Avg Win Rate
57.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$12(-4.0%)
Whales
6
L
Liquidifier🥇
Entry 40¢·366.4 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $146 · WR 56.3%
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven🥈
Entry 58¢·187 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $109 · WR 59.0%
C
cloverpmq2🥉hedged
Entry 66¢·34.9 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$23
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $23 · WR 60.1%
F
felton37Fingerlime4hedged
Entry 69¢·21 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $14 · WR 60.0%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 24¢·26 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $6 · WR 65.0%
P
Petty-Stacking
Entry 26¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 55.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$50
Avg Win Rate
60.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+18.9%)
Whales
3
J
just-bettor🥇
Entry 45¢·50 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $23 · WR 62.0%
C
cloverpmq2🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·29.9 shares·also $23 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 60.1%
F
felton37Fingerlime4🥉hedged
Entry 59¢·21 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 60.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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