19 days left

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October?

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YES Price

40¢

40% implied

NO Price

60¢

60% implied

Volume

$1.3K

109 trades

Smart Whales

5

of 39 traders

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?

9 MARKETS · $12.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October

62¢+18¢$2.0K4/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October+18¢62¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October

47¢+20¢$2.5K6/3

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October+20¢47¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in October

43¢−3¢$2.2K4/6

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in October−3¢43¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October←

40¢+10¢$1.3K2/2

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October←+10¢40¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October

26¢+24¢$6601/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October+24¢26¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October

14¢+61¢$1.9K3/1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October+61¢14¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October

17¢+23¢$4662/3

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October+23¢17¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October

5¢+28¢$5502/4

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October+28¢5¢

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October

3¢+27¢$1.0K3/7

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October+27¢3¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs3 NO

40%60%

60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges

+4 new YES$58+10 new NO$123

$81 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $13 is directional: YES $0·NO $13

YES Team

Total Invested

$18

Avg Win Rate

57.8%

Aggregate P&L

-$2(-11.1%)

Whales

2

Scoopdewhoop🥇

Entry 45¢·20 shares

$-1INV $9 · WR 55.9%

hithitfar🥈hedged

Entry 45¢·19 shares·also $10 on NO

$-1INV $9 · WR 59.7%

NO Team

Total Invested

$31

Avg Win Rate

60.8%

Aggregate P&L

+$2(+7.3%)

Whales

3

just-bettor🥇

Entry 62¢·21 shares

+$2INV $13 · WR 62.0%

hithitfar🥈hedged

Entry 53¢·19 shares·also $9 on YES

+$1INV $10 · WR 59.7%

Entry 66¢·12.4 shares

$-1INV $8 · WR 60.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 40% YES: the 10-year Treasury yield dip below…