YES Price
74¢
74% implied
NO Price
26¢
26% implied
Volume
$12.7K
236 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 81 traders
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
5 MARKETS · $1.50M MATCHEDSmart Money
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31
35¢+11¢$259.1K38/45US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31+11¢35¢
$259.1K38/45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30
40¢+8¢$262.2K38/42US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30+8¢40¢
$262.2K38/42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15←
74¢−17¢$12.7K4/3US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15←−17¢74¢
$12.7K4/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs9 NO
63%38%
63% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 72% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 79%· net of hedges
+38 new YES$9.1K+50 new NO$2.9K
$1.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
12 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.5K is directional: YES $1.1K·NO $410YES Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$21(+0.9%)
Whales
15
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 77¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$775
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $775 · WR 57.9%
4
0x4e84ce15...🥈
Entry 83¢·613.7 shares
Invested
$512
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $512 · WR 60.6%
V
VFALL🥉
Entry 75¢·555 shares
Invested
$416
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $416 · WR 73.9%
M
MrMelonHead
Entry 53¢·495.3 shares
Invested
$260
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $260 · WR 65.2%
C
classified
Entry 75¢·312.1 shares
Invested
$234
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $234 · WR 83.0%
U
Untidy-Examination
Entry 63¢·90.5 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
96.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $57 · WR 96.0%
E
Eia
Entry 64¢·70 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $45 · WR 61.9%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 79¢·40 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $32 · WR 71.3%
N
Ning0049
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $25 · WR 80.7%
B
Blueynbingo
Entry 74¢·22.4 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $17 · WR 69.8%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-42.2%)
Whales
9
W
WashTrade🥇
Entry 54¢·5,959.7 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-1620
$-1620INV $3.2K · WR 59.4%
P
peterfromfamilyguy🥈
Entry 22¢·1,648.9 shares
Invested
$363
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$82
+$82INV $363 · WR 61.0%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉
Entry 50¢·75.4 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $38 · WR 68.6%
M
Marco-Rubio
Entry 19¢·126 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $24 · WR 62.7%
M
meagainsttheworld
Entry 21¢·109.4 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $23 · WR 66.8%
S
Scoopdewhoophedged
Entry 63¢·10 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $6 · WR 56.1%
T
trashtier
Entry 22¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 63.3%
C
compute
Entry 20¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 8 of 9
Smart Whale Trades
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