YES Price
89¢
89% implied
NO Price
11¢
11% implied
Volume
$42.9K
337 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 127 traders
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
5 MARKETS · $1.50M MATCHEDSmart Money
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31
35¢+11¢$259.1K38/45US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31+11¢35¢
$259.1K38/45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30
40¢+8¢$262.2K38/42US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30+8¢40¢
$262.2K38/42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15
73¢−16¢$12.7K4/3US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15−16¢73¢
$12.7K4/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
25 YESvs15 NO
63%38%
63% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 55% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 87%· net of hedges
+79 new YES$31.6K+57 new NO$6.0K
$3.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 22 buyers — left out of momentum
26 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $762·NO $622YES Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
74.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$303(+14.5%)
Whales
25
C
Chims🥇
Entry 88¢·555 shares
Invested
$488
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
—
—INV $488 · WR 85.1%
2
20260601🥈
Entry 86¢·400 shares
Invested
$342
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $342 · WR 67.2%
V
Vicious-Detective🥉
Entry 90¢·360 shares
Invested
$324
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $324 · WR 67.4%
T
Te0n2
Entry 83¢·244.9 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $203 · WR 66.5%
I
Infantile-Dagger
Entry 89¢·212.8 shares
Invested
$189
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $189 · WR 82.8%
T
The-Defect
Entry 55¢·251.4 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $138 · WR 79.8%
M
MrMelonHead
Entry 50¢·227.3 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $114 · WR 65.2%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 85¢·80 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $68 · WR 71.3%
B
browne
Entry 90¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $36 · WR 75.6%
E
eCashhedged
Entry 16¢·125 shares·also $120 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$91
+$91INV $20 · WR 67.1%
Showing top 10 of 25
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-56.9%)
Whales
15
I
iNeedMoreDollars🥇
Entry 44¢·2,290.5 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-754
$-754INV $1.0K · WR 57.3%
I
Isengard1🥈
Entry 50¢·1,952.8 shares
Invested
$977
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-762
$-762INV $977 · WR 59.1%
W
WashTrade🥉
Entry 84¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$840
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-730
$-730INV $840 · WR 59.4%
C
compute
Entry 13¢·2,882.6 shares
Invested
$388
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $388 · WR 56.8%
M
meagainsttheworld
Entry 12¢·3,200 shares
Invested
$386
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$174
+$174INV $386 · WR 66.8%
E
eCashhedged
Entry 96¢·125 shares·also $20 on YES
Invested
$120
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $120 · WR 67.1%
C
classified
Entry 11¢·976.9 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $107 · WR 83.0%
B
badatthis
Entry 12¢·700 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $81 · WR 64.2%
J
JasonPunos
Entry 107¢·52.3 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $56 · WR 74.6%
G
ggwpbrothers
Entry 10¢·437.1 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $44 · WR 66.2%
Showing top 10 of 15
Smart Whale Trades
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