Geopolitics5 days left
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?
YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$2.6K
210 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 76 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?
5 MARKETS · $10.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4←
35¢+23¢$2.6K7/5Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4←+23¢35¢
$2.6K7/5
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4
34¢+21¢$2.0K6/5Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4+21¢34¢
$2.0K6/5
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4
6¢+40¢$2.1K6/7Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4+40¢6¢
$2.1K6/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs6 NO
70%30%
70% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 57%· net of hedges
+26 new YES$81+10 new NO$102
$39 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $222 is directional: YES $220·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$222
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$60(+27.0%)
Whales
14
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 20¢·236.5 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $47 · WR 72.0%
S
Started-with-20-USD🥈
Entry 23¢·194.2 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $45 · WR 59.0%
S
Shy-Note🥉
Entry 34¢·123.7 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $42 · WR 58.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 42¢·90.6 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $38 · WR 58.0%
A
alamedamemola
Entry 34¢·70 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 57.1%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 24¢·40 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 81.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 20¢·34 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $7 · WR 86.8%
C
cenche
Entry 35¢·6.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 100.0%
N
nainaice
Entry 35¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 60.0%
Q
qixiaoshou
Entry 35¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 80.0%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$139
Avg Win Rate
85.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-7.5%)
Whales
6
G
glm404.fund🥇
Entry 72¢·117.3 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $85 · WR 85.8%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 89¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $36 · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 87.5%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 83.3%
C
cemenber
Entry 66¢·3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 71.4%
B
0xbd8bc815...
Entry 21¢·5.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 80.8%
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