Geopolitics5 days left
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$2.0K
139 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 61 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?
5 MARKETS · $10.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4
35¢+23¢$2.6K7/5Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4+23¢35¢
$2.6K7/5
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4←
34¢+21¢$2.0K6/5Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4←+21¢34¢
$2.0K6/5
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4
6¢+40¢$2.1K6/7Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4+40¢6¢
$2.1K6/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs7 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 61%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$27+3 new NO$42
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $121 is directional: YES $120·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$120
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$32(+26.9%)
Whales
4
S
Started-with-20-USD🥇
Entry 22¢·278 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $60 · WR 59.0%
S
Shy-Note🥈
Entry 29¢·123.5 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $36 · WR 58.0%
I
itsjustcheddar🥉
Entry 38¢·40 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $15 · WR 81.0%
A
alamedamemola
Entry 22¢·42.7 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $9 · WR 57.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$567
Avg Win Rate
76.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$137(+24.1%)
Whales
7
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 54¢·738.1 shares
Invested
$399
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$92
+$92INV $399 · WR 72.0%
G
glm404.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·204.5 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $101 · WR 85.8%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $40 · WR 88.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 80¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $16 · WR 86.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 82¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 85.8%
L
luciebot
Entry 42¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 83.3%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 41¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 88.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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