Geopolitics5 days left
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$2.1K
86 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 42 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?
5 MARKETS · $10.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4
35¢+23¢$2.6K7/5Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4+23¢35¢
$2.6K7/5
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4
34¢+21¢$2.0K6/5Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4+21¢34¢
$2.0K6/5
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4←
6¢+40¢$2.1K6/7Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4←+40¢6¢
$2.1K6/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs7 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 60%
+5 new YES$9+2 new NO$13
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $39 is directional: YES $36·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$40
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$11(-28.2%)
Whales
6
S
Shy-Note🥇
Entry 20¢·73 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $15 · WR 58.0%
S
Started-with-20-USD🥈
Entry 4¢·350 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $14 · WR 59.0%
A
alamedamemola🥉
Entry 5¢·100 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 57.1%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 75¢·5.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 69.5%
A
ajumiee
Entry 25¢·5.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 72.7%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 7¢·12.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 81.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$648
Avg Win Rate
78.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$594(+91.6%)
Whales
7
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 50¢·724.8 shares
Invested
$365
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$320
+$320INV $365 · WR 72.0%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 50¢·270.8 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$121
+$121INV $135 · WR 86.8%
G
glm404.fund🥉
Entry 44¢·204.5 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $89 · WR 85.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $40 · WR 89.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.7%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 83.3%
Y
yellong
Entry 76¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 65.2%
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