Geopolitics5 days left
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$2.1K
109 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 50 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?
5 MARKETS · $10.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4
35¢+23¢$2.6K7/5Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4+23¢35¢
$2.6K7/5
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4
34¢+21¢$2.0K6/5Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4+21¢34¢
$2.0K6/5
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4
6¢+40¢$2.1K6/7Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4+40¢6¢
$2.1K6/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs5 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%
+4 new YES$12+4 new NO$58
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $341 is directional: YES $86·NO $255YES Team
Total Invested
$86
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$7(-7.6%)
Whales
4
S
Started-with-20-USD🥇
Entry 21¢·220 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $46 · WR 59.0%
S
Shy-Note🥈
Entry 13¢·123.8 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $17 · WR 58.0%
A
alamedamemola🥉
Entry 21¢·70 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 · WR 57.1%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 21¢·40.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 81.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$516
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$238(+46.2%)
Whales
5
S
sabsabinxz🥇
Entry 74¢·344.5 shares
Invested
$255
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $255 · WR 60.3%
G
glm404.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·234.5 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $117 · WR 85.8%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 41¢·218.2 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $89 · WR 86.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $50 · WR 89.0%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 83.3%
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