Geopolitics10 days left
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$1.6K
92 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 55 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?
6 MARKETS · $6.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
18¢+22¢$1.8K2/3Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+22¢18¢
$1.8K2/3
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4←
15¢+52¢$1.6K4/2Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4←+52¢15¢
$1.6K4/2
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
8¢+52¢$1.1K3/2Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+52¢8¢
$1.1K3/2
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
5¢+62¢$1822/1Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+62¢5¢
$1822/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs4 NO
69%31%
69% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 57% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+32 new YES$282+19 new NO$1.1K
$48 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $294 is directional: YES $168·NO $126YES Team
Total Invested
$218
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$49(-22.3%)
Whales
9
R
rabbit007🥇
Entry 17¢·813 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $142 · WR 59.4%
F
fastandfudurious🥈
Entry 76¢·60 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $45 · WR 56.9%
S
Started-with-20-USD🥉
Entry 21¢·60 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $13 · WR 58.9%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 24¢·23.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 68.7%
B
boofa
Entry 24¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 70.6%
S
shutudo
Entry 25¢·9.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 70.6%
S
savemen
Entry 25¢·8.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 65.2%
K
kromos
Entry 25¢·6.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 65.5%
Y
yuzhangzi
Entry 25¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 70.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$136
Avg Win Rate
60.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$20(+15.0%)
Whales
4
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 75¢·164.1 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $123 · WR 58.0%
H
highstake.trade🥈
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 85.8%
S
sazium🥉
Entry 76¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 71.9%
J
jumeror
Entry 76¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 71.4%
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