Geopolitics10 days left
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$1.8K
83 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 34 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?
6 MARKETS · $6.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4←
18¢+22¢$1.8K2/3Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4←+22¢18¢
$1.8K2/3
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
14¢+53¢$1.6K4/2Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+53¢14¢
$1.6K4/2
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
8¢+52¢$1.1K3/2Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+52¢8¢
$1.1K3/2
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
5¢+62¢$1822/1Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+62¢5¢
$1822/1
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Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs3 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 49% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$7+1 new NO$2
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $308 is directional: YES $152·NO $156YES Team
Total Invested
$155
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-1.3%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$216
Avg Win Rate
59.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+6.9%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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