Geopolitics10 days left
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$1.4K
50 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 24 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?
6 MARKETS · $6.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
18¢+22¢$1.8K2/3Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+22¢18¢
$1.8K2/3
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
14¢+53¢$1.6K4/2Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+53¢14¢
$1.6K4/2
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
8¢+52¢$1.1K3/2Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+52¢8¢
$1.1K3/2
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
5¢+62¢$1822/1Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+62¢5¢
$1822/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs2 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$31+6 new NO$339
$20 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $59 is directional: YES $59·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$61
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$23(-38.2%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$928(+83.8%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 216ms