Geopolitics10 days left
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$182
27 trades
Smart Whales
3
of 14 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?
6 MARKETS · $6.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
18¢+22¢$1.8K2/3Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+22¢18¢
$1.8K2/3
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
14¢+53¢$1.6K4/2Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+53¢14¢
$1.6K4/2
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
8¢+52¢$1.1K3/2Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+52¢8¢
$1.1K3/2
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4←
5¢+62¢$1822/1Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4←+62¢5¢
$1822/1
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Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs1 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $134 is directional: YES $134·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$134
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$92(-68.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
85.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+89.3%)
Whales
1
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