Geopolitics10 days left
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$704
58 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 26 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?
6 MARKETS · $6.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
18¢+22¢$1.8K2/3Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+22¢18¢
$1.8K2/3
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
14¢+53¢$1.6K4/2Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+53¢14¢
$1.6K4/2
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
8¢+52¢$1.1K3/2Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+52¢8¢
$1.1K3/2
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4
5¢+62¢$1822/1Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4+62¢5¢
$1822/1
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Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs2 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 65%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$33+2 new NO$22
$18 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $147 is directional: YES $147·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$147
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$91(+61.9%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$22
Avg Win Rate
70.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$20(+94.4%)
Whales
2
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