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Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
52¢
52% implied
NO Price
48¢
48% implied
Volume
$11.4K
319 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 104 traders

VMA Video of the Year 2026

12 MARKETS · $42.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs18 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 43% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 66%· net of hedges
+34 new YES$3.1K+28 new NO$1.7K
$347 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.4K is directional: YES $1.0K·NO $1.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
62.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$27(-2.7%)
Whales
7
J
jimmer-fredette🥇
Entry 54¢·978 shares
$-17INV $526 · WR 57.1%
D
DuneMentat🥈
Entry 52¢·607.5 shares
$-2INV $318 · WR 72.7%
A
Anjun🥉
Entry 52¢·222 shares
—INV $115 · WR 58.9%
A
aliiz
Entry 64¢·65 shares
$-8INV $42 · WR 67.6%
M
michaelschwartz
Entry 53¢·21.2 shares
$-0INV $11 · WR 80.7%
H
hlmhts
Entry 50¢·10 shares
+$0INV $5 · WR 70.0%
Showing top 6 of 7

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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