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Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Best Cinematography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
43¢
43% implied
NO Price
57¢
57% implied
Volume
$613
29 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 20 traders

VMA Best Cinematography 2026

12 MARKETS · $15.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs3 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$156+16 new NO$404
$20 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $233 is directional: YES $153·NO $80
YES Team
Total Invested
$153
Avg Win Rate
57.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$13(+8.3%)
Whales
2
J
jimmer-fredette🥇
Entry 40¢·380 shares
+$11INV $151 · WR 57.1%
D
DuneMentat🥈
Entry 23¢·10 shares
+$2INV $2 · WR 72.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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