6 days left
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
YES Price
62¢
62% implied
NO Price
38¢
38% implied
Volume
$1.1K
69 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 33 traders
VMA Best Pop 2026
13 MARKETS · $20.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
52¢−20¢$11.4K8/17by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards−20¢52¢
$11.4K8/17
by Ariana Grande win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
2¢+11¢$8271/7by Ariana Grande win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards+11¢2¢
$8271/7
by Charli XCX win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
1¢+24¢$2241/3by Charli XCX win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards+24¢1¢
$2241/3
by Lisa featuring Kentaro Sakaguchi win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
26¢−26¢$2.6K0/9by Lisa featuring Kentaro Sakaguchi win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards−26¢26¢
$2.6K0/9
by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
10¢+8¢$9692/9by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards+8¢10¢
$9692/9
by Sabrina Carpenter win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
1¢−1¢$3080/3by Sabrina Carpenter win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards−1¢1¢
$3080/3
by Tate McRae win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
0¢0¢$5900/8by Tate McRae win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards0¢0¢
$5900/8
by Taylor Swift win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards←
62¢−45¢$1.1K2/10by Taylor Swift win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards←−45¢62¢
$1.1K2/10
by Taylor Swift win Best Art Direction at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
41¢+9¢$1.2K4/4by Taylor Swift win Best Art Direction at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards+9¢41¢
$1.2K4/4
by Taylor Swift win Best Cinematography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
43¢−3¢$6132/3by Taylor Swift win Best Cinematography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards−3¢43¢
$6132/3
by Taylor Swift win Best Editing at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
36¢+31¢$4624/2by Taylor Swift win Best Editing at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards+31¢36¢
$4624/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 72%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$672+16 new NO$302
$120 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $195 is directional: YES $193·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$212
Avg Win Rate
64.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$22(+10.5%)
Whales
4
A
Anjun🥇
Entry 66¢·157.3 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $104 · WR 58.9%
D
DuneMentat🥈
Entry 61¢·145 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $89 · WR 72.7%
J
jimmer-fredette🥉
Entry 61¢·30 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 57.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 2¢·48 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $1 · WR 79.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$606
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$146(-24.1%)
Whales
10
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 50¢·307.6 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $154 · WR 72.0%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 50¢·270 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $135 · WR 87.5%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 50¢·180 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $90 · WR 85.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $85 · WR 89.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 56¢·141.6 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $79 · WR 86.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $30 · WR 68.4%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·35.5 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $18 · WR 79.2%
W
Worthless-Beak
Entry 50¢·16.5 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 78.5%
H
highstake.trade
Entry 59¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 85.8%
E
Exotic-Scholar
Entry 35¢·3.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.6%
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