6 days left
Will “Tears” by Sabrina Carpenter win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$2.3K
99 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 49 traders
VMA Video of the Year 2026
6 MARKETS · $40.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
“Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande
32¢−28¢$18.2K1/26“Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande−28¢32¢
$18.2K1/26
“Storm” by Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean
0¢+10¢$9631/9“Storm” by Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean+10¢0¢
$9631/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs14 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+7 new YES$10+6 new NO$475
1 smart whale5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $48 is directional: YES $10·NO $38YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
66.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$4(+33.5%)
Whales
4
M
macrosteaks🥇
Entry 1¢·481.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $6 · WR 60.0%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 3¢·90 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 72.0%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 1¢·168.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 75.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 1¢·16 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 66.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
80.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+136.0%)
Whales
14
H
highstake.trade🥇
Entry 50¢·780 shares
Invested
$390
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$375
+$375INV $390 · WR 85.8%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 50¢·429.6 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$207
+$207INV $215 · WR 85.8%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 50¢·250 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$120
+$120INV $125 · WR 89.4%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·233.2 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$112
+$112INV $117 · WR 79.2%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 50¢·207.3 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $104 · WR 58.5%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 50¢·160 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $80 · WR 58.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 14¢·301.9 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$255
+$255INV $41 · WR 86.2%
D
DuneMentat
Entry 89¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $36 · WR 72.7%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 50¢·60.9 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $30 · WR 59.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·16.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $8 · WR 89.1%
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