6 days left
Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$18.2K
364 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 93 traders
VMA Video of the Year 2026
11 MARKETS · $41.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards←
32¢−28¢$18.2K1/26by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards←−28¢32¢
$18.2K1/26
by Bruno Mars win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
0¢0¢$1.2K0/9by Bruno Mars win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards0¢0¢
$1.2K0/9
by Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
0¢+10¢$9631/9by Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards+10¢0¢
$9631/9
by Madonna win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
17¢+9¢$6.0K6/17by Madonna win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards+9¢17¢
$6.0K6/17
by Sabrina Carpenter win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
2¢+10¢$2.3K2/15by Sabrina Carpenter win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards+10¢2¢
$2.3K2/15
by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
52¢−20¢$11.4K8/17by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards−20¢52¢
$11.4K8/17
by Ariana Grande win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
2¢+11¢$8271/7by Ariana Grande win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards+11¢2¢
$8271/7
by Ariana Grande win Best Direction at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
27¢—$00/0by Ariana Grande win Best Direction at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards—27¢
$00/0
by Ariana Grande win Best Cinematography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
33¢+17¢$2203/3by Ariana Grande win Best Cinematography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards+17¢33¢
$2203/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs29 NO
97%
97% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges
+34 new YES$4.1K+62 new NO$12.9K
$1.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 24 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales18 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.4K is directional: YES $0·NO $4.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
1
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.9K
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$543(-9.2%)
Whales
29
M
macrosteaks🥇
Entry 75¢·3,831.5 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-243
$-243INV $2.9K · WR 60.0%
D
DuneMentat🥈
Entry 77¢·1,481.3 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-124
$-124INV $1.1K · WR 72.7%
H
highstake.trade🥉
Entry 83¢·390 shares
Invested
$322
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $322 · WR 85.8%
L
Lucerys
Entry 81¢·263.4 shares
Invested
$213
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $213 · WR 86.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 73¢·280 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $203 · WR 72.0%
S
sweetj
Entry 81¢·234 shares
Invested
$190
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $190 · WR 75.8%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 67¢·231.2 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $154 · WR 85.8%
M
merod
Entry 81¢·154 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $125 · WR 83.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 85¢·125 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $106 · WR 89.4%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 52¢·169.1 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $88 · WR 58.8%
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