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Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$6.0K
216 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 82 traders · 1 on both sides

VMA Video of the Year 2026

13 MARKETS · $42.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs17 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 24% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$381+21 new NO$1.7K
$107 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$47 of $1.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $286·NO $904
YES Team
Total Invested
$309
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$125(-40.4%)
Whales
7
I
InterestingUser🥇
Entry 26¢·504.3 shares
$-56INV $129 · WR 64.0%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 26¢·420 shares
$-48INV $109 · WR 75.8%
M
macrosteaks🥉
Entry 21¢·190.9 shares
$-12INV $40 · WR 60.0%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 21¢·111 shares·also $85 on NO
$-7INV $23 · WR 58.9%
D
DuneMentat
Entry 21¢·32 shares
$-2INV $7 · WR 72.7%
O
ogi250
Entry 27¢·3.8 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 3¢·8.6 shares
+$1INV $0 · WR 72.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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