6 days left
Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
YES Price
43¢
43% implied
NO Price
57¢
57% implied
Volume
$1.3K
91 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 42 traders
VMA Best Dance 2026
14 MARKETS · $17.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
by Madonna win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
17¢+9¢$6.0K6/17by Madonna win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards+9¢17¢
$6.0K6/17
by Bebe Rexha and Faithless win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
1¢+12¢$1921/7by Bebe Rexha and Faithless win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards+12¢1¢
$1921/7
by Harry Styles win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
11¢+6¢$1341/5by Harry Styles win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards+6¢11¢
$1341/5
by Lady Gaga and Doechii win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
10¢−10¢$1690/7by Lady Gaga and Doechii win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards−10¢10¢
$1690/7
by Madonna win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards←
43¢−23¢$1.3K2/8by Madonna win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards←−23¢43¢
$1.3K2/8
by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
27¢−27¢$8.4K0/11by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards−27¢27¢
$8.4K0/11
by Slayyyter win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
7¢−7¢$980/4by Slayyyter win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards−7¢7¢
$980/4
by Tate McRae win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
7¢−7¢$2230/6by Tate McRae win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards−7¢7¢
$2230/6
by Madonna win Best Direction at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
27¢—$00/0by Madonna win Best Direction at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards—27¢
$00/0
by Madonna win Best Art Direction at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
33¢−8¢$2091/3by Madonna win Best Art Direction at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards−8¢33¢
$2091/3
by Madonna win Best Cinematography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
26¢−26¢$170/1by Madonna win Best Cinematography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards−26¢26¢
$170/1
by Madonna win Best Editing at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards
40¢−7¢$9802/4by Madonna win Best Editing at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards−7¢40¢
$9802/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs7 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 57%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$82+9 new NO$65
$25 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $220 is directional: YES $8·NO $212YES Team
Total Invested
$22
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+26.6%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$263
Avg Win Rate
73.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+4.2%)
Whales
7
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 52¢·266.5 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $139 · WR 75.8%
A
Anjun🥈
Entry 63¢·111 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $70 · WR 58.9%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $25 · WR 86.2%
M
mapleggg
Entry 57¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $12 · WR 83.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 85.3%
H
highstake.trade
Entry 50¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 85.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 67¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 66.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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