Politics15 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
87¢
87% implied
NO Price
13¢
13% implied
Volume
$23.5K
587 trades
Smart Whales
45
of 141 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?
5 MARKETS · $50.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
1¢+18¢$4.8K4/17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+18¢1¢
$4.8K4/17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
1¢+16¢$5.2K4/19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+16¢1¢
$5.2K4/19
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
2¢+15¢$6.0K5/24Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+15¢2¢
$6.0K5/24
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Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs27 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 87%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$458+13 new NO$69
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $12.3K is directional: YES $11.9K·NO $426YES Team
Total Invested
$11.9K
Avg Win Rate
77.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+10.7%)
Whales
18
6
65765757🥇
Entry 84¢·6,613.8 shares
Invested
$5.6K
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$230
+$230INV $5.6K · WR 79.1%
R
RenanPresidente.🥈
Entry 80¢·6,839 shares
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$525
+$525INV $5.5K · WR 76.9%
L
LulaVaiPerder🥉
Entry 77¢·226.4 shares
Invested
$174
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $174 · WR 76.9%
N
neverhackme
Entry 85¢·198.7 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $168 · WR 76.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 20¢·699.6 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$472
+$472INV $140 · WR 71.9%
D
data-sync
Entry 86¢·105.5 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $91 · WR 75.0%
B
0xbec46ec4...
Entry 88¢·96 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $85 · WR 64.9%
Z
ZilkerSniper
Entry 88¢·61.9 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $55 · WR 67.2%
B
BrazilianTheWise
Entry 88¢·57.2 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $50 · WR 68.8%
D
DeLeeuw
Entry 86¢·56 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $48 · WR 67.7%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$804
Avg Win Rate
75.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$73(-9.0%)
Whales
27
U
Umaroth🥇
Entry 13¢·1,980 shares
Invested
$262
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $262 · WR 60.8%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 14¢·858.6 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $119 · WR 87.7%
M
midturn.rekt🥉
Entry 14¢·660 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $91 · WR 85.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 15¢·466.3 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $70 · WR 85.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 20¢·303.1 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $59 · WR 87.5%
A
aliiz
Entry 17¢·169.7 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $29 · WR 67.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 13¢·151 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 79.5%
T
Tee1000
Entry 14¢·80 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 81.9%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 14¢·69 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 83.8%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 16¢·59.7 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $9 · WR 58.4%
Showing top 10 of 27
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