Politics15 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$11.1K
276 trades
Smart Whales
32
of 86 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?
5 MARKETS · $50.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
1¢+18¢$4.8K4/17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+18¢1¢
$4.8K4/17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
1¢+16¢$5.2K4/19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+16¢1¢
$5.2K4/19
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
2¢+15¢$6.0K5/24Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+15¢2¢
$6.0K5/24
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Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs24 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$87+10 new NO$1.3K
$33 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.7K is directional: YES $177·NO $1.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$441
Avg Win Rate
75.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$324(-73.7%)
Whales
8
R
RenanPresidente.🥇hedged
Entry 146¢·176.7 shares·also $106 on NO
Invested
$258
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-239
$-239INV $258 · WR 76.9%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 20¢·700 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $140 · WR 71.9%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 20¢·90.4 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $18 · WR 87.7%
A
aliiz
Entry 11¢·75 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 67.6%
N
neverhackme
Entry 20¢·27 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 76.3%
F
Far-Off-Consent
Entry 11¢·45.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 58.3%
Showing top 6 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
78.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.6K(+75.9%)
Whales
24
6
65765757🥇
Entry 87¢·1,422.8 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $1.2K · WR 79.1%
M
midturn.rekt🥈
Entry 46¢·1,190.6 shares
Invested
$545
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$514
+$514INV $545 · WR 85.9%
L
LulaVaiPerder🥉
Entry 86¢·300 shares
Invested
$259
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $259 · WR 76.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·446.4 shares
Invested
$221
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$175
+$175INV $221 · WR 89.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·301.9 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$117
+$117INV $151 · WR 79.5%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 50¢·280 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$109
+$109INV $140 · WR 58.3%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 53¢·217.3 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $115 · WR 58.6%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 53¢·199.5 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $106 · WR 58.5%
R
RenanPresidente.hedged
Entry 60¢·176.7 shares·also $258 on YES
Invested
$106
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $106 · WR 76.9%
T
Tee1000
Entry 89¢·80 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $71 · WR 81.9%
Showing top 10 of 24
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