Politics15 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$4.8K
141 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 51 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?
5 MARKETS · $50.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←
1¢+18¢$4.8K4/17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←+18¢1¢
$4.8K4/17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
1¢+16¢$5.2K4/19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+16¢1¢
$5.2K4/19
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
2¢+15¢$6.0K5/24Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+15¢2¢
$6.0K5/24
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Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs11 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $423 is directional: YES $423·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$424
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$409(-96.6%)
Whales
13
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 20¢·1,700 shares
Invested
$340
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-330
$-330INV $340 · WR 71.9%
M
midturn.rekt🥈
Entry 20¢·90 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 85.9%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 6¢·312.7 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $18 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 20¢·72.1 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 20¢·52 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 79.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 20¢·40 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 79.5%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 20¢·39.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 88.2%
N
neverhackme
Entry 20¢·27 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 76.3%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 16¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 89.2%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 1¢·18.3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 58.6%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+91.6%)
Whales
11
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 50¢·932.6 shares
Invested
$466
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$461
+$461INV $466 · WR 85.7%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 50¢·332 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$164
+$164INV $166 · WR 88.2%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash🥉
Entry 64¢·217.3 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $138 · WR 58.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·270 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$133
+$133INV $135 · WR 89.4%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 55¢·181.2 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $100 · WR 58.2%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 50¢·138 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $69 · WR 83.8%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 50¢·129.6 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $65 · WR 58.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $40 · WR 88.8%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 82.7%
Showing top 9 of 11
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