Politics15 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$6.0K
156 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 64 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?
5 MARKETS · $50.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
1¢+18¢$4.8K4/17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+18¢1¢
$4.8K4/17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
1¢+16¢$5.2K4/19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+16¢1¢
$5.2K4/19
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←
2¢+15¢$6.0K5/24Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←+15¢2¢
$6.0K5/24
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Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs20 NO
36%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 71% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%
+5 new YES$9+4 new NO$97
0 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $310 is directional: YES $220·NO $90YES Team
Total Invested
$221
Avg Win Rate
74.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$194(-87.5%)
Whales
11
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 20¢·700.1 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-129
$-129INV $140 · WR 71.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 20¢·138.1 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $28 · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 4¢·651.3 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $23 · WR 85.9%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 20¢·95.8 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.5%
M
midturn.rekt
Entry 20¢·47.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 85.9%
C
Careful-Bunch
Entry 3¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.3%
G
ghorrock
Entry 3¢·8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 4¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 87.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 3¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 89.2%
Showing top 9 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
79.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+82.0%)
Whales
20
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 49¢·916.7 shares
Invested
$451
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$452
+$452INV $451 · WR 85.7%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 50¢·410 shares
Invested
$205
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$199
+$199INV $205 · WR 88.2%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 50¢·301.9 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$146
+$146INV $151 · WR 79.5%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 50¢·215.2 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $108 · WR 58.6%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 50¢·199.5 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $100 · WR 58.5%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·189.9 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$92
+$92INV $95 · WR 68.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 55¢·152 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $84 · WR 89.4%
T
Tee1000
Entry 97¢·80 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $78 · WR 81.9%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 50¢·138 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $69 · WR 83.8%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 57¢·97.3 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $55 · WR 58.2%
Showing top 10 of 20
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