Politics15 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$5.2K
158 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 61 traders · 1 on both sides
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?
5 MARKETS · $50.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
1¢+18¢$4.8K4/17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+18¢1¢
$4.8K4/17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←
1¢+16¢$5.2K4/19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←+16¢1¢
$5.2K4/19
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
2¢+15¢$6.0K5/24Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+15¢2¢
$6.0K5/24
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Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs16 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $397 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $396·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$397
Avg Win Rate
76.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$383(-96.5%)
Whales
11
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 20¢·1,336.1 shares
Invested
$267
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-259
$-259INV $267 · WR 71.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 20¢·463.6 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $93 · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 5¢·331.4 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $18 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 20¢·52 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 79.3%
N
neverhackme
Entry 20¢·27 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 76.3%
L
Limping-Baggie-Techniquehedged
Entry 20¢·11 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 58.5%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 1¢·18.3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 58.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 4¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 87.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 3¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 89.2%
Showing top 9 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
83.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+95.5%)
Whales
16
M
midturn.rekt🥇
Entry 50¢·1,320 shares
Invested
$660
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$652
+$652INV $660 · WR 85.9%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 50¢·932.6 shares
Invested
$466
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$461
+$461INV $466 · WR 85.7%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 50¢·422 shares
Invested
$211
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$208
+$208INV $211 · WR 88.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·301.9 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$149
+$149INV $151 · WR 79.5%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 50¢·201 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$99
+$99INV $101 · WR 58.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·160 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $80 · WR 89.4%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 50¢·138 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $69 · WR 83.8%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 65¢·60.6 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $40 · WR 58.8%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 50¢·78.3 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $39 · WR 88.2%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 50¢·43.1 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $22 · WR 58.5%
Showing top 10 of 16
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