Geopolitics4 days left
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$1.8K
128 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 32 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?
6 MARKETS · $7.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
24¢−4¢$1.1K2/8Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20−4¢24¢
$1.1K2/8
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
28¢−15¢$2.0K1/7Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20−15¢28¢
$2.0K1/7
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
23¢−1¢$6642/7Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20−1¢23¢
$6642/7
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
14¢+19¢$8433/6Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20+19¢14¢
$8433/6
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs10 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 38% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$213+16 new NO$1.1K
$73 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $303 is directional: YES $117·NO $187YES Team
Total Invested
$117
Avg Win Rate
71.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$47(-40.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$736
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$281(+38.2%)
Whales
10
M
midturn.rekt🥇
Entry 71¢·339.6 shares
Invested
$242
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $242 · WR 85.9%
P
PavtheGreat🥈
Entry 85¢·150.9 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $128 · WR 62.1%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 50¢·241.2 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $121 · WR 85.4%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·131.2 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $66 · WR 87.7%
M
ms1910
Entry 86¢·67.7 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $58 · WR 59.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $40 · WR 89.4%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 66¢·45.8 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $30 · WR 88.8%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 87¢·30.2 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $26 · WR 79.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·31 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $16 · WR 79.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $9 · WR 79.4%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 151ms