Geopolitics4 days left
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$1.1K
102 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 34 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?
6 MARKETS · $7.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20←
24¢−4¢$1.1K2/8Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20←−4¢24¢
$1.1K2/8
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
28¢−15¢$2.0K1/7Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20−15¢28¢
$2.0K1/7
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
23¢−1¢$6642/7Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20−1¢23¢
$6642/7
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
14¢+19¢$8433/6Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20+19¢14¢
$8433/6
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs9 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 78% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$241+20 new NO$1.1K
$121 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $317 is directional: YES $248·NO $69YES Team
Total Invested
$248
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$98(+39.7%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$567
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$107(+18.9%)
Whales
9
M
midturn.rekt🥇
Entry 51¢·332.4 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $168 · WR 85.9%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥈
Entry 83¢·165.4 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $138 · WR 79.2%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 60¢·187.6 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $113 · WR 85.4%
P
plainfolder
Entry 83¢·60 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $50 · WR 85.7%
M
ms1910
Entry 82¢·50 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $41 · WR 59.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 83¢·33.5 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $28 · WR 87.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 85¢·18 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 · WR 79.4%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·29.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $15 · WR 79.4%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 13¢·5.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 88.8%
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