Geopolitics4 days left
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$1.5K
142 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 52 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?
6 MARKETS · $7.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
24¢−4¢$1.1K2/8Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20−4¢24¢
$1.1K2/8
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
28¢−15¢$2.0K1/7Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20−15¢28¢
$2.0K1/7
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
23¢−1¢$6642/7Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20−1¢23¢
$6642/7
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
14¢+19¢$8433/6Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20+19¢14¢
$8433/6
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs12 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$161+24 new NO$1.2K
$52 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $523 is directional: YES $181·NO $342YES Team
Total Invested
$181
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-5.1%)
Whales
6
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 17¢·700 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $117 · WR 71.8%
R
rabbit007🥈
Entry 11¢·513 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $56 · WR 59.5%
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥉
Entry 16¢·31 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 56.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 17¢·9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 79.4%
K
KiruaTrading
Entry 11¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.7%
I
Ill-Informed-Iron
Entry 10¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$862
Avg Win Rate
81.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$344(+39.9%)
Whales
12
Q
Quantum777🥇
Entry 85¢·280.6 shares
Invested
$239
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $239 · WR 84.6%
M
midturn.rekt🥈
Entry 50¢·339.6 shares
Invested
$170
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $170 · WR 85.9%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 63¢·227.3 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $143 · WR 85.4%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·183.8 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $92 · WR 79.2%
M
ms1910
Entry 91¢·100 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $91 · WR 59.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 57¢·79.7 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $46 · WR 79.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $40 · WR 88.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 89¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 89.4%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 89.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 91¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 87.7%
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