Geopolitics4 days left
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$2.0K
153 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 51 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?
6 MARKETS · $7.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
24¢−4¢$1.1K2/8Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20−4¢24¢
$1.1K2/8
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20←
28¢−15¢$2.0K1/7Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20←−15¢28¢
$2.0K1/7
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
23¢−1¢$6642/7Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20−1¢23¢
$6642/7
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
14¢+19¢$8433/6Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20+19¢14¢
$8433/6
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs8 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$326+21 new NO$752
$231 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $119 is directional: YES $117·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$117
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$68(+57.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$418
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$108(+25.8%)
Whales
8
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 57¢·265.3 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $152 · WR 79.4%
M
midturn.rekt🥈
Entry 63¢·186.9 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $118 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 50¢·131.2 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $66 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $40 · WR 89.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 62¢·40 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $25 · WR 88.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 76¢·17.9 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 79.4%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 72¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $2 · WR 88.8%
B
0xb178d011...
Entry 76¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 57.4%
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