Geopolitics4 days left
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$664
99 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 55 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?
6 MARKETS · $7.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
16¢+4¢$1.1K2/8Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20+4¢16¢
$1.1K2/8
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
28¢−15¢$2.0K1/7Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20−15¢28¢
$2.0K1/7
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20←
23¢−1¢$6642/7Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20←−1¢23¢
$6642/7
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20
14¢+19¢$8433/6Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20+19¢14¢
$8433/6
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs15 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 72%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$123+28 new NO$275
$53 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $144 is directional: YES $129·NO $15YES Team
Total Invested
$129
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$34(+26.2%)
Whales
6
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 17¢·700 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $117 · WR 71.8%
M
ms1910🥈
Entry 21¢·25.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 59.1%
2
0x27ad60e3...🥉
Entry 22¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 62.3%
A
0xa7166246...
Entry 22¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 59.5%
D
0xdcd4a4de...
Entry 22¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 57.4%
2
0x204f8375...
Entry 22¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$292
Avg Win Rate
83.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$136(+46.5%)
Whales
15
M
midturn.rekt🥇
Entry 51¢·315.9 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $160 · WR 85.9%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 60¢·83.1 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $50 · WR 85.4%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥉
Entry 50¢·81.5 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $41 · WR 79.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 87.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·17.9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $9 · WR 79.4%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·13 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $6 · WR 87.7%
0
0x0e22fde8...
Entry 79¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 62.0%
1
0x1045cc7d...
Entry 79¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 56.9%
8
0x816df256...
Entry 79¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.5%
B
0xbabc008b...
Entry 79¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 61.0%
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