Polymarket wallet 0x816d…22a5

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x816d…22a5 has made 286 trades on Polymarket across 154 markets, $456 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (12%) and economics (11%). On 138 resolved markets the win rate is 58%, lifetime P&L +$26. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?". Last trade: Oct 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?No · $3 · 71¢ → 96¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?Yes · $2 · 39¢ → 82¢
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?No · $1 · 64¢ → 84¢
• Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix <22%?Yes · $1 · 23¢ → 28¢
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?No · $1 · 75¢ → 88¢
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Yes · $1 · 32¢ → 32¢
• United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?No · $1 · 65¢ → 63¢
• Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?No · $1 · 39¢ → 35¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?No · $0 · 66¢ → 32¢
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Yes · $0 · 26¢ → 13¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?Yes · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of October 12 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?No · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?No · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%?Yes · +$2 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.