Politics16 days left
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$1.3K
133 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 52 traders
California Governor Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2 is directional: YES $2·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$2
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+240.5%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$178
Avg Win Rate
82.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$182(+102.5%)
Whales
7
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·121.5 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $61 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $40 · WR 88.7%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 33¢·60 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $20 · WR 86.6%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $20 · WR 86.2%
W
Worthless-Beak
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $18 · WR 81.4%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 66.8%
A
Aggressive-Compensation-Morsel
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 78.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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