Politics16 days left
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$2.9K
165 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 51 traders
California Governor Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs9 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$65
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$28(-43.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$215
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$35(+16.0%)
Whales
9
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 66¢·90.4 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $59 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 60¢·80 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $48 · WR 88.2%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca🥉
Entry 58¢·50.3 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $29 · WR 67.9%
M
mapleggg
Entry 58¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $23 · WR 86.2%
N
Near-Scow-Amount
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $18 · WR 80.4%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 54¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $11 · WR 66.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 52¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 89.0%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 32¢·20 shares·also $20 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $6 · WR 61.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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