Politics16 days left
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$2.2K
155 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 45 traders
California Governor Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $27 is directional: YES $27·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$27
Avg Win Rate
69.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+2.3%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$187
Avg Win Rate
82.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$99(+53.1%)
Whales
11
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 68¢·60 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $41 · WR 89.0%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 50¢·56 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $28 · WR 79.6%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise🥉
Entry 50¢·50.3 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $25 · WR 78.8%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $20 · WR 86.2%
U
Ultimate-Yesterday-Dogsled
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $18 · WR 79.0%
C
Clever-Catalysis
Entry 50¢·28.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $14 · WR 82.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 66.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 89.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 86.0%
S
Shiny-Pension-Omission
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $9 · WR 80.2%
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