Politics16 days left
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$1.3K
113 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 44 traders
California Governor Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $12 is directional: YES $12·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$12
Avg Win Rate
57.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$7(-61.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$205
Avg Win Rate
80.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$116(+56.5%)
Whales
11
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise🥇
Entry 50¢·101 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $51 · WR 78.8%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 87¢·40 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $35 · WR 79.6%
C
Clever-Catalysis🥉
Entry 68¢·50.3 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $34 · WR 82.2%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·30.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $15 · WR 86.2%
S
Scholarly-Trade
Entry 50¢·28.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $14 · WR 70.5%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 56¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $11 · WR 66.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 89.3%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 91¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 86.6%
N
Novel-Driveway-Upgrade
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 81.4%
C
0xc34fc382...
Entry 88¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 75.5%
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