Politics16 days left
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$1.3K
96 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 36 traders
California Governor Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs10 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4 is directional: YES $4·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
56.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-40.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$220
Avg Win Rate
83.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$189(+85.7%)
Whales
10
C
Clever-Catalysis🥇
Entry 50¢·101 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $51 · WR 82.2%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $40 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 73¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $29 · WR 88.2%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $20 · WR 86.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 53¢·35.6 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $19 · WR 79.6%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $18 · WR 80.1%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise
Entry 50¢·28.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $14 · WR 78.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 66.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.7%
L
Leading-Craft
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $9 · WR 82.8%
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