Politics16 days left
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$2.6K
165 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 53 traders
California Governor Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs12 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$28
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+4.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$311
Avg Win Rate
78.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$40(+12.8%)
Whales
12
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 64¢·135.5 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $87 · WR 79.6%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca🥈
Entry 67¢·101 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $67 · WR 67.9%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $40 · WR 86.6%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $18 · WR 85.2%
S
Shiny-Pension-Omission
Entry 50¢·31.8 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $16 · WR 80.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 73¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 86.0%
C
0xc34fc382...
Entry 70¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 75.5%
M
mapleggg
Entry 69¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $14 · WR 86.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 68¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 88.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 59¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $12 · WR 66.8%
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