Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 10-15%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$6.7K
81 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 62 traders
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
6 MARKETS · $79.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs14 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+28 new YES$614+25 new NO$5.7K
$10 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.1K is directional: YES $12·NO $5.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$55
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$53(-95.1%)
Whales
6
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥇
Entry 25¢·176.1 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $43 · WR 56.8%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 17¢·39.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 85.9%
D
DerDon🥉
Entry 9¢·54 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 56.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 17¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 79.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 17¢·2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 87.4%
Showing top 5 of 6
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.4K
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+19.5%)
Whales
14
V
vinii🥇
Entry 89¢·2,120 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$205
+$205INV $1.9K · WR 65.4%
2
252🥈
Entry 89¢·1,919.3 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$185
+$185INV $1.7K · WR 68.6%
F
fkcvffcjt🥉
Entry 94¢·1,295.8 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $1.2K · WR 65.3%
R
rabbit007
Entry 94¢·190 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $178 · WR 59.9%
S
suhail-frenz-account187
Entry 50¢·180 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $90 · WR 85.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·134 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $67 · WR 88.2%
H
HolyMoses7
Entry 100¢·55 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $55 · WR 77.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 56¢·80 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $44 · WR 88.9%
A
AlfredTheShiller
Entry 88¢·43.2 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $38 · WR 58.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 8¢·380 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$346
+$346INV $30 · WR 71.8%
Showing top 10 of 14
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