Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?
YES Price
93¢
93% implied
NO Price
7¢
7% implied
Volume
$54.2K
135 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 81 traders
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
6 MARKETS · $78.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs15 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+35 new YES$7.7K+41 new NO$46.2K
$62 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
11 smart whales15 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.3K is directional: YES $6.2K·NO $157YES Team
Total Invested
$6.2K
Avg Win Rate
61.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$43.1K(+697.9%)
Whales
14
R
Railcool🥇
Entry 10¢·50,015 shares
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$41858
+$41858INV $5.2K · WR 59.8%
R
ronaldk🥈
Entry 46¢·865.7 shares
Invested
$402
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$413
+$413INV $402 · WR 70.1%
V
vinii🥉
Entry 87¢·327 shares
Invested
$284
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $284 · WR 65.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 17¢·709.2 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$549
+$549INV $118 · WR 71.8%
O
ogi250
Entry 59¢·81 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $48 · WR 58.1%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 16¢·297 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$232
+$232INV $48 · WR 56.8%
S
spacexstar
Entry 62¢·66.4 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $41 · WR 66.7%
H
HolyMoses7
Entry 92¢·40 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $37 · WR 77.2%
0
0zBet
Entry 91¢·21 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 71.4%
S
sergeygto1
Entry 62¢·4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 71.0%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$472
Avg Win Rate
79.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$387(-82.0%)
Whales
15
K
KickstandBot🥇
Entry 80¢·126 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-93
$-93INV $100 · WR 67.1%
S
suhail-frenz-account187🥈
Entry 50¢·180 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $90 · WR 85.8%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 50¢·114 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $57 · WR 89.3%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $50 · WR 89.5%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 53¢·75 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $40 · WR 79.6%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 68¢·42 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $28 · WR 85.9%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 44¢·56 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $25 · WR 85.9%
F
fgdhdghrthr
Entry 43¢·41 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $18 · WR 61.4%
W
Well-Informed-Baritone
Entry 77¢·19.3 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $15 · WR 77.0%
L
Lawful-Neighbor
Entry 72¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 74.2%
Showing top 10 of 15
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